about 1 month ago • 1 min
What’s going on here?
The US added a lower-than-expected number of jobs in October, a sign that the Federal Reserve’s (the Fed) biggest wish might finally be coming true.
What does this mean?
US companies filled a fewer-than-expected 150,000 jobs in October, while the unemployment rate crept up to just shy of 4%. That’s not a drastic level by any means, but it is the highest number of jobseekers the US has seen this year. But that’s for the greater good: the job market’s clearly weakening without completely collapsing, and that’s the exact outcome the Fed has been praying for.
Why should I care?
The bigger picture: Say “ommm”.
The Fed’s been desperately manifesting a calmer economy, but instead of crystals and sound baths, the central bank’s leant on interest rate hikes to make inflation more peaceful. The latest data could well turn some skeptics into believers, especially since pay in the US ticked up by just over 4% between this October and last, the smallest rise in a while. And because wage increases fire up inflation, that news could be the deep breath the economy needed.
For markets: Alexa, play “Hot And Cold” by Katy Perry.
Thing is, for every moment of tranquility, there’s a day of madness. Markets have been especially moody this year, and folk are quick to call a Goldilocks scenario – the perfect blend of low inflation and a healthy economy – at the faintest scent of well-cooked oatmeal. But be wary of getting swept up in fairy tales because in this economy, an evil villain can be lurking around any corner. Keep a foot rooted in reality, instead: watch out for reasons why stocks might pick up when they’re down in the dumps, and consider cashing out when everyone’s celebrating.
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