It Looks Like British Banks Would Survive A Pounding

It Looks Like British Banks Would Survive A Pounding
Daniel Johnston

8 months ago2 mins

What’s going on here?

The Bank of England (BoE) just released its stress test results, and they showed UK banks could cope with a serious beating.

What does this mean?

Hot on the heels of the Federal Reserve’s stress tests, the BoE has put the UK’s eight biggest lenders under the microscope. These financial powerhouses, responsible for about three-quarters of the economy’s lending, were tested against some pretty grim scenarios – including a housing market crash, ballooning unemployment, and interest rates hitting a hefty 6%. The silver lining: all banks passed, showing they’re ready to weather some tough storms and support households and businesses if hard times do strike.

UK lenders pass stress test

Why should I care?

Zooming in: A rendezvous with refinancing.

Despite the positive results, the reality is that many UK households might soon need a financial lifeline: after all, the BoE has warned that around 4 million households could see their mortgage payments jump by nearly £3,000 ($3,879) annually when they’re forced to refinance. This comes as the average mortgage rate for fixed two-year home loans has hit a devilish high of 6.66%, the highest since 2008. Households, then, are gearing up for a rough ride, and here’s the kicker: a separate forecast out on Wednesday suggested that Britain’s cost-of-living crisis won’t be letting up for another year.

UK mortgage payments to jump
Source: Bank of England

The bigger picture: The fuse is lit, and we’re waiting for the bang.

The UK economy has been holding its own so far, but interest rate hikes haven’t percolated through every layer of the country yet – and that means the real challenge is just around the corner. With a third of UK consumers reportedly already tightening their belts when it comes to non-essentials, more cutbacks will only make matters worse. So while the UK has dodged the recession bullet so far, fears of economic shrinkage are still in the air, and things could easily go south this year.

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