about 2 months ago • 6:31 mins
US stock market valuations have fallen sharply in anticipation of a more difficult year ahead, and whether stock prices improve from here depends a lot on 2023’s profit picture. Top of your to-do list, then, should be forming a view on next year’s profit growth. Done the usual way, that can be an arduous task, so I've devised a novel way to do it…
One way to wrap your head around what’s going to happen next year is to pick off each company in the S&P 500, forecast each one’s prospects, and group all those forecasts together to get an aggregate picture of corporate America. (This is what’s known as a “bottom-up” approach to forecasting.)
But you’re busy, and I’m guessing you have neither the time nor the inclination for that. L
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