Jonathan Hobbs

4 months ago5 mins

Fidelity Expects A Hard Landing, But These Opportunities Are Braced For It

Fidelity Expects A Hard Landing, But These Opportunities Are Braced For It

Jonathan Hobbs

4 months ago5 mins

Fidelity Expects A Hard Landing, But These Opportunities Are Braced For It
  • Fidelity thinks a recession is likely in 2023, and its severity would hinge on whether the Fed and other central banks raise interest rates too quickly.

  • Fidelity’s cautious overall, and sees stocks and commodities as higher risk while government bonds and US dollars are lower risk.

  • Finally, Fidelity sees longer-term opportunities in Asia-Pacific stocks (especially Indian and Indonesian stocks), high-quality corporate and government bonds, and eco-friendly real estate.

Fidelity thinks a recession is likely in 2023, and its severity would hinge on whether the Fed and other central banks raise interest rates too quickly.

Fidelity’s cautious overall, and sees stocks and commodities as higher risk while government bonds and US dollars are lower risk.

Finally, Fidelity sees longer-term opportunities in Asia-Pacific stocks (especially Indian and Indonesian stocks), high-quality corporate and government bonds, and eco-friendly real estate.

Fidelity just released a 56-page outlook report for 2023, but you don’t need to read all that: I’ve summed up the key takeaways and – most importantly – where the opportunities lie.

What does Fidelity think the economy will do next year?

In short, the asset manager says central bank policy will probably cause some kind of a recession – or a “hard landing” – in 2023. Here’s why: the US Federal Reserve (the Fed) underestimated so-called “transitory” inflation last year, so it’s been playing catch-up to try and contain the problem this year. The Fed’s been aggressively hoisting interest rates to tame what’s actually been “sticky” inflation, but if it keeps raising them too high and too fast, that could worsen the economic slowdown.

Everything hinges on what the Fed does next, but there

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