Why higher rates are worst for tech stocks

It’s probably not time yet to pick up any beaten-down tech stocks.

Higher Rates Are Bad News For Stocks, But Especially Tech Stocks

Here’s what it means for the future of interest rates.

BREAKING: Caught Between Inflation And Banking Turmoil, Fed Opts For A Small Hike

But they aren’t all the same. Here’s what to look for.

These Assets Can Be A Portfolio’s MVP.

Why commodities and cold hard cash might be just what your portfolio needs.

This Might Be A Good Time To Hedge

This could even be its Amazon-in-2002 moment. Or not.

Nvidia Could Still Go A Lot Higher

The problems in financial markets are rarely in the things we can see. They’re in the things we can’t see.

Don’t Underestimate The Risks Of Contagion

The Economy’s Walking A Tightrope: Here’s How To Prepare For Both A Crash And A Soft Landing

Your Daily Brief For March 29th

It’s that time again: interest rate decision time. . The Federal Reserve (the Fed) is widely expected to announce another hefty rate increase on Wednesday, bringing its key rate to about 4%. You can expect that this will be a painful announcement for stocks: after all, higher rates shrink the present value of a company’s cash flows, which dents its valuation.

But the pain isn’t equal for all stocks. High-growth stocks tend to suffer more in a rising rate environment than low-growth ones. Since these stocks derive most of their present value from future growth and cash flows, higher rates impact their share prices more. The chart above shows just that: at rates of 4% and above, the valuation impact on low-growth stocks (blue bars) and high-growth stocks (yellow bars) start to widen meaningfully. The implication is clear: if rates continue to increase, the hit on high-growth sectors like tech will intensify, and the tech selloff we’ve seen so far might only be the beginning.

Nonetheless, don’t be surprised if stocks rally Wednesday even if the Fed announces another big 0.75 percentage point rate hike. Near-term stock moves are often fueled by short-term drivers. Over the long term, however, the continued upward trajectory of interest rates will prove bad news for stocks – particularly high-growth stocks – so you might just want to be cautious about picking up any downtrodden tech stocks just yet…



Quick Take

contentPieceId

encryptedEmail

ContentPieceQuery

viewer

query ContentPieceQuery(
  $contentPieceId: String!
  $encryptedEmail: String
) {
  viewer {
    authorization {
      roles {
        isAnonymous
      }
      ...SingleContentPiece_authorization
    }
    content(encryptedEmail: $encryptedEmail) {
      ...SingleContentPiece_content_11DhN6
      contentPiece(contentPieceId: $contentPieceId) {
        __typename
        ...SingleContentPiece_contentPiece
        id
      }
    }
    id
  }
}

fragment AudioOnlyBanner_contentPiece on ContentPieceInterface {
  __isContentPieceInterface: __typename
  headerImage {
    ...ServerImage_image
  }
  title
}

fragment Avatar_image on URLImage {
  original
}

fragment Block_block on ContentPieceBlock {
  __isContentPieceBlock: __typename
  __typename
  ... on TextBlock {
    id
    ...TextBlock_block
  }
  ... on ImageBlock {
    id
    ...ImageBlock_block
  }
  ... on QuoteBlock {
    id
    ...QuoteBlock_block
  }
}

fragment ContentHeader_contentPiece on ContentPieceInterface {
  __isContentPieceInterface: __typename
  ...DefaultContentHeader_contentPiece
  ...EvergreenContentHeader_contentPiece
  contentPieceType {
    isEvergreen
  }
}

fragment ContentMetadata_contentPiece on ContentPieceInterface {
  __isContentPieceInterface: __typename
  byline
  consumptionTime
  dateUpdatedDisplay
  contentPieceType {
    name
  }
}

fragment ContentPieceExploreMore_content_3M8Ve6 on Content {
  moreContentPiecesOfSameType: contentPieces(first: 5, filterByTypeOfId: $contentPieceId) {
    edges {
      node {
        title
        id
        slug
        subtitle
        canonicalLink
      }
    }
  }
}

fragment ContentPieceSEO_contentPiece on ContentPieceInterface {
  __isContentPieceInterface: __typename
  title
  imageForSeo: headerImage {
    url: full
  }
  subtitle
  firstPublishedAt
  id
  ... on PublicContentPiece {
    globalContentPieceId
  }
  byline
  seoTitle
  searchDescription
  canonicalLink
}

fragment ContentPieceSponsor_contentPiece on ContentPieceInterface {
  __isContentPieceInterface: __typename
  sponsoringCompany {
    id
    name
    link
    logo {
      ...ServerImage_image
    }
  }
}

fragment DefaultContentHeader_contentPiece on ContentPieceInterface {
  __isContentPieceInterface: __typename
  ...ContentMetadata_contentPiece
  ...ListenButton_contentPiece
  ...AudioOnlyBanner_contentPiece
  ...KeyInsights_contentPiece
  id
  deepLink
  canonicalLink
  title
  author {
    id
    byline
    profilePicture {
      ...Avatar_image
    }
  }
  headerImage {
    ...ServerImage_image
  }
}

fragment EvergreenContentHeader_contentPiece on ContentPieceInterface {
  __isContentPieceInterface: __typename
  ...ContentMetadata_contentPiece
  ...ListenButton_contentPiece
  ...ContentPieceSponsor_contentPiece
  canonicalLink
  id
  deepLink
  title
  hasAudio
  headerImage {
    ...ServerImage_image
  }
}

fragment ImageBlock_block on ImageBlock {
  image {
    ...ServerImage_image
  }
  alt
  caption
}

fragment KeyInsightsBlock_contentPiece on ContentPieceInterface {
  __isContentPieceInterface: __typename
  keyInsightsBlocks {
    id
    textMarkdown
  }
}

fragment KeyInsightsCarousel_contentPiece on ContentPieceInterface {
  __isContentPieceInterface: __typename
  keyInsightsBlocks {
    id
    textMarkdown
  }
}

fragment KeyInsights_contentPiece on ContentPieceInterface {
  __isContentPieceInterface: __typename
  ...KeyInsightsCarousel_contentPiece
  ...KeyInsightsBlock_contentPiece
  keyInsightsBlocks {
    id
    textMarkdown
  }
}

fragment ListenButton_contentPiece on ContentPieceInterface {
  __isContentPieceInterface: __typename
  id
  title
  trackingTitle
  subtitle
  readingTime
  isPremium
  hasBlocks
  hasChapters
  hasAudio
  contentPieceType {
    name
    trackingName
  }
  ...AudioOnlyBanner_contentPiece
}

fragment MainContentSection_contentPiece on ContentPieceInterface {
  __isContentPieceInterface: __typename
  ...ContentPieceSEO_contentPiece
  ...ContentHeader_contentPiece
  title
  headerImage {
    ...ServerImage_image
  }
  globalContentPieceId
  trackingTitle
  subtitle
  firstPublishedAt
  readingTime
  isPremium
  deepLink
  hasBlocks
  hasChapters
  hasAudio
  id
  canonicalLink
  byline
  contentPieceType {
    name
    trackingName
  }
  blocks {
    __typename
    ...Block_block
    ... on Node {
      __isNode: __typename
      id
    }
  }
}

fragment MoreContentSection_content_11DhN6 on Content {
  ...ContentPieceExploreMore_content_3M8Ve6
  mostRecentBrief: contentPieces(first: 1, excludeId: $contentPieceId, contentType: "DAILY_BRIEF") {
    edges {
      node {
        id
        ...SingleContentLarge_contentPiece
      }
    }
  }
  mostRecentInsight: contentPieces(first: 1, excludeId: $contentPieceId, contentType: "INSIGHT") {
    edges {
      node {
        id
        ...SingleContentLarge_contentPiece
      }
    }
  }
}

fragment QuoteBlock_block on QuoteBlock {
  quote
  caption
}

fragment ServerImage_image on URLImage {
  full
}

fragment SingleContentLarge_contentPiece on ContentPieceInterface {
  __isContentPieceInterface: __typename
  title
  byline
  consumptionTime
  headerImage {
    ...ServerImage_image
  }
  hasChapters
  chapters {
    __typename
    id
    slug
  }
  id
  slug
  canonicalLink
}

fragment SingleContentPiece_authorization on Authorization {
  roles {
    isPreviewingContentAllowance
    isPreviewing
    isAnonymous
    hasPremiumSubscription
  }
}

fragment SingleContentPiece_contentPiece on ContentPieceInterface {
  __isContentPieceInterface: __typename
  ...AudioOnlyBanner_contentPiece
  ...MainContentSection_contentPiece
  globalContentPieceId
  trackingTitle
  isPremium
  hasBlocks
  hasChapters
  hasAudio
  contentPieceType {
    name
    trackingName
  }
  chapters {
    __typename
    id
    slug
  }
}

fragment SingleContentPiece_content_11DhN6 on Content {
  ...MoreContentSection_content_11DhN6
  anonymousUserHasPremium
}

fragment TextBlock_block on TextBlock {
  textMarkdown
}


Higher Rates Are Bad News For Stocks, But Especially Tech Stocks

Higher Rates Are Bad News For Stocks, But Especially Tech Stocks

BECOME A SMARTER INVESTOR

Your Daily Brief For March 29th

The Economy’s Walking A Tightrope: Here’s How To Prepare For Both A Crash And A Soft Landing