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It’s only a matter of time before that catches up with the economy.

Americans Are Feeling Less Confident Than Ever About Their Own Finances

Here’s some of what they’re saying.

ChatGPT Has Big Tech’s CEOs Talking About AI

Cathie Wood’s fund has big ideas for bitcoin.

ARK Invest Says Bitcoin’s Going To $1 Million. Could It?

Historically, this has been bad news for stocks.

The Gap Between The Data And The Consensus Hasn’t Been This Wide Since 2008

Your Daily Brief For February 8th

And a few good reasons to still be cautious.

Here Are Two Positive Omens For Stocks

But you might want to wait for a pullback before jumping in.

Breaking: UK Stocks Hit An All-Time Record High

The Market’s Dangerous Optimism About Inflation

There are all sorts of organizations that check in on how everyday Americans are feeling about the economic backdrop, and this month’s data from a couple of them doesn’t bode well. The **US Conference Board consumer confidence index** hasn’t been this low since February 2021, which is down to a drop-off in how people are feeling about the short-term outlook for income, business, and labor conditions. The **University of Michigan consumer confidence index**, meanwhile, skips the wider business questions and focuses on how consumers are feeling about their *own* finances. Not great, apparently: the metric just hit its lowest reading ever.

Both measures add to a pile of evidence that suggests we’re headed for a more rapid US slowdown and dip into recession than most economists are forecastin

Quick Take

contentPieceId

encryptedEmail

ContentPieceQuery

viewer

query ContentPieceQuery(
  $contentPieceId: String!
  $encryptedEmail: String
) {
  viewer {
    authorization {
      roles {
        isAnonymous
      }
      ...SingleContentPiece_authorization
    }
    content(encryptedEmail: $encryptedEmail) {
      ...SingleContentPiece_content_11DhN6
      contentPiece(contentPieceId: $contentPieceId) {
        __typename
        ...SingleContentPiece_contentPiece
        id
      }
    }
    id
  }
}

fragment AudioOnlyBanner_contentPiece on ContentPieceInterface {
  __isContentPieceInterface: __typename
  headerImage {
    ...ServerImage_image
  }
  title
}

fragment Block_block on ContentPieceBlock {
  __isContentPieceBlock: __typename
  __typename
  ... on TextBlock {
    id
    ...TextBlock_block
  }
  ... on ImageBlock {
    id
    ...ImageBlock_block
  }
  ... on QuoteBlock {
    id
    ...QuoteBlock_block
  }
}

fragment ContentMetadata_contentPiece on ContentPieceInterface {
  __isContentPieceInterface: __typename
  byline
  consumptionTime
  dateUpdatedDisplay
  contentPieceType {
    name
  }
}

fragment ContentPieceSEO_contentPiece on ContentPieceInterface {
  __isContentPieceInterface: __typename
  title
  imageForSeo: headerImage {
    url: full
  }
  subtitle
  firstPublishedAt
  id
  ... on PublicContentPiece {
    globalContentPieceId
  }
  byline
  seoTitle
  searchDescription
  canonicalLink
}

fragment ExploreMore_content_3M8Ve6 on Content {
  moreContentPiecesOfSameType: contentPieces(first: 5, filterByTypeOfId: $contentPieceId) {
    edges {
      node {
        title
        id
        slug
        subtitle
      }
    }
  }
}

fragment ImageBlock_block on ImageBlock {
  image {
    ...ServerImage_image
  }
  alt
  caption
}

fragment ListenButton_contentPiece on ContentPieceInterface {
  __isContentPieceInterface: __typename
  id
  title
  trackingTitle
  subtitle
  readingTime
  isPremium
  hasBlocks
  hasChapters
  hasAudio
  contentPieceType {
    name
    trackingName
  }
  ...AudioOnlyBanner_contentPiece
}

fragment MainContentSection_contentPiece on ContentPieceInterface {
  __isContentPieceInterface: __typename
  ...ContentMetadata_contentPiece
  ...ListenButton_contentPiece
  ...ContentPieceSEO_contentPiece
  ...AudioOnlyBanner_contentPiece
  title
  headerImage {
    ...ServerImage_image
  }
  globalContentPieceId
  trackingTitle
  subtitle
  firstPublishedAt
  readingTime
  isPremium
  deepLink
  hasBlocks
  hasChapters
  hasAudio
  id
  byline
  contentPieceType {
    name
    trackingName
  }
  blocks {
    __typename
    ...Block_block
    ... on Node {
      __isNode: __typename
      id
    }
  }
}

fragment MoreContentSection_content_11DhN6 on Content {
  ...ExploreMore_content_3M8Ve6
  mostRecentBrief: contentPieces(first: 1, excludeId: $contentPieceId, contentType: "DAILY_BRIEF") {
    edges {
      node {
        id
        ...SingleContentLarge_contentPiece
      }
    }
  }
  mostRecentInsight: contentPieces(first: 1, excludeId: $contentPieceId, contentType: "INSIGHT") {
    edges {
      node {
        id
        ...SingleContentLarge_contentPiece
      }
    }
  }
}

fragment QuoteBlock_block on QuoteBlock {
  quote
  caption
}

fragment ServerImage_image on URLImage {
  full
  srcSet
}

fragment SingleContentLarge_contentPiece on ContentPieceInterface {
  __isContentPieceInterface: __typename
  title
  byline
  consumptionTime
  headerImage {
    ...ServerImage_image
  }
  hasChapters
  chapters {
    __typename
    id
    slug
  }
  id
  slug
}

fragment SingleContentPiece_authorization on Authorization {
  roles {
    isPreviewingContentAllowance
    isPreviewing
    isAnonymous
    hasPremiumSubscription
  }
}

fragment SingleContentPiece_contentPiece on ContentPieceInterface {
  __isContentPieceInterface: __typename
  ...AudioOnlyBanner_contentPiece
  ...MainContentSection_contentPiece
  globalContentPieceId
  trackingTitle
  isPremium
  hasBlocks
  hasChapters
  hasAudio
  contentPieceType {
    name
    trackingName
  }
  chapters {
    __typename
    id
    slug
  }
}

fragment SingleContentPiece_content_11DhN6 on Content {
  ...MoreContentSection_content_11DhN6
  anonymousUserHasPremium
}

fragment TextBlock_block on TextBlock {
  textMarkdown
}


Americans Are Feeling Less Confident Than Ever About Their Own Finances

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Your Daily Brief For February 8th

The Market’s Dangerous Optimism About Inflation